We're not betting on a date. We're betting on a direction.

Scrolled past this chart last week and went down a black hole.

It's from a book called Bitcoin One Million. It predicts when AI replaces entire professions. Doctors. Lawyers. Coders. Teachers. Surgeons. All on a timeline.

I'm not attached to the dates. Could be off by a decade. That's not the point.

The question I keep sitting with: what are the odds the direction is right?

Gary Keller once quoted Andy Grove in a mastermind: complacency is what kills great organizations. You don't lose because you saw the wave coming. You lose because you convinced yourself it wasn't real.

Same energy here.

If there's a 60-70% chance AI reshapes most of what we call "work" within our lifetime, the rational move is to prepare now. Even if the dates are wrong.

The harder question isn't economic. It's human.

What happens to a person's sense of meaning when their job disappears?

I've always kept thoughts like this in my journal. Starting to share them out loud. If you want to read where this one went, I published the full piece on Substack over the weekend.

→ https://open.substack.com/pub/shoney/p/when-work-disappears

When you look at a chart like this, what's your honest first reaction?

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