27d (edited) • 🧠 Mindset
When did one bad moment make YOU forget the 99 good ones?
A long, clean streak can distort risk.
One bad outcome gets more weight than the many that went fine.
The base rate stays the same.
If you already possess a stack of evidence about something, or undeniable proof (as Hormozi would say), you have enough data points to outweigh the "what ifs".
Portable Life sees this all the time:
  • One missed flight vs dozens that connected
  • One sketchy stay vs years of solid homes
  • One slow Wi-Fi day vs months of stable work
  • One lost bag vs a long run of clean arrivals
Keep perspective with simple moves:
  • State the base rate: out of 100, how many went fine?
  • Name the expected costs: delays, fees, scrapes
  • Improve the process, not the identity: add guardrails and continue
  • Track outcomes: count wins and issues, not moods
  • Add one safeguard: backups for power, data, routes, or stays
What past scare made YOU overestimate the risk, and what guardrail did YOU keep?
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7 comments
Lary Neron
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When did one bad moment make YOU forget the 99 good ones?
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