I am breaking down this week's concept early!
This is hole 18 at my home course, Millwood Golf and Raquet Club. A great hole, which measures roughly 430 yards with a very teachable risk to reward concept.
- The target number to hit on this hole is around 240-245 from that tee box.
- This number clears the possibility of fairway bunker or water hazard off the tee with a good swing.
- Leaves a manageable number to the center of the green while taking out as much trouble as possible.
If you were to hit your well struck drive 280, half of your shot dispersion is in the water hazard. Penalty shots are the #1 cause of double/triple bogeys.
If you were to hit your drive into the fairway bunker, the average 10 handicap player in that position would average 4-4.5 strokes to get the ball in the hole from the bunker.
The harder a swing off the tee, the wider of a dispersion pattern, therefore bringing more trouble into play. The best golfers in the world do not swing 100% on every swing due to this, they train their entire life swinging roughly 80-85%. Hard, but still in control.
In your opinion, given that the 240-yard shot off the tee is the lowest probability of double or worse, what option do you think is the highest probability for double or worse?