Sunday setup. US equities stay closed today, but crypto is still live and the Middle East situation is still developing, so this is the week-ahead view with the weekend's actual moves folded in โ not a note that pretends nothing happened.
Where things stand going into Monday
Equities: Friday July 10 closed higher โ S&P 500 7,575.39 (+0.42%), Nasdaq 26,281.61 (+0.29%), Dow 52,637.01 (+0.29%), Russell 2000 softer at 2,977.81 (-0.49%). Carry those as context into the reopen.
Crypto (live over the weekend): Bitcoin held in the 64,000s after firming into the weekend, with the 64,400 area the near-term line to clear toward the mid-June high near 67,250; Ethereum sat near 1,795 dollars. Sentiment has stayed firm on ETF inflows and pending US crypto legislation.
Energy and geopolitics: oil stayed bid โ WTI near 71.8 dollars, up nearly 5% on the week โ on Strait of Hormuz supply-disruption risk after tanker attacks, US strikes, and the ceasefire being called off. This is the standing risk into the new week.
What is on the calendar for the week of July 13
Earnings season begins to ramp โ the large US banks traditionally open the reporting season in mid-July, so single-name results and guidance become a main driver.
Geopolitics: the Strait of Hormuz situation is the live wildcard for oil and, through it, inflation and rates.
Macro inputs: the path of Treasury yields (10-year near 4.56% at Friday's close) and energy prices.
Next FOMC decision: July 28 to 29 โ not this week, but expectations will shift as data and headlines print.
These are the scheduled and standing items; confirm exact release times on primary sources before acting.
What this means for your system
Two things are moving while the stock market sleeps: crypto and oil. Set your week up so neither catches you flat โ know your crypto exposure in units, know what an oil spike does to your read on rates, and treat the first bank earnings as information rather than a reason to chase.
Three things worth doing before the open
Reconcile the Obsidian Metrics Financial Tracker so week one starts off data.
Set one alert each for oil and BTC, plus one index threshold.
Write down what a good week versus a bad week looks like for one position you hold, so you are judging against a plan.
Bottom line
Markets reopen Monday July 13 into the start of earnings season, with Friday's higher close as the backdrop, crypto firm over the weekend, and the Strait of Hormuz keeping oil bid. The July 28 to 29 FOMC is still ahead. Use the Sunday window to get current and set alerts. The next full Daily Market Update returns after the Monday session.
Sources (publicly available data): Yahoo Finance and CNBC index closes for July 10, 2026; weekend crypto marks (CoinDesk and CoinGabbar); geopolitical reporting on the Strait of Hormuz; Federal Reserve FOMC calendar; standard earnings-season schedule. Equity figures are Friday's close; crypto and oil are live and move continuously.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Results not typical or guaranteed. Market data is approximate and based on publicly available sources; past performance does not guarantee future results.