8d (edited) • General discussion
My Autistic Research (as of 11/27/25)
The excuses people have made in my 3 years of doing this have pissed me off to the point of me doing an extremely autistic statistical analysis into EVERY single conversation/conversion/client that I have ever have while reflectively comparing it to:
-Expert-Guided (RFBB programs including CPS)
-Expert-Guided (Delayed, excuses, came back later after spinning wheels)
-Self Managed DIY
-Analysis Paralysis (non action takers)
-Budget Programs (chose Walmart coach)
I saved EVERY conversation, have EVERY call I've ever taken logged in my CRM and call taking notebook and took an afternoon to cross reference all the non action takers vs my clients, including those that started/declined coaching in the same windows. I had to use some Claude market analysis to reflect my personal findings vs the budget program crowd and to organize the data from my autistic notes and my TEDI tracker into something more concise that would fit in this text box.
Here's the cold hard data:
Scroll to the bottom for the TL;DR if you need the summary
Approach | Start Rate | Success Rate | Regret Rate | Time to Results | Avg ROI (24mo)
──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Expert-Guided (Immediate) | 100% | 87% | 0-3% | 11.4 weeks | 921%
Expert-Guided (Delayed) | 34% | 71% | 89% | 14.1 weeks* | 460%
Self-Managed DIY | 50% | 28% | 78% | 24+ weeks/Never | Negative
Analysis Paralysis | 8-18% | 12% | 95% | Never | $0
Budget Programs ($99/mo) | 70% | 15% | 82% | Never | Negative
*Does not include delay time (average 3-6 months before starting)
KEY INSIGHTS:
→ Immediate expert-guided approach has 7.3X better success rate than DIY
→ Starting immediately vs. delayed has 2.5X better long-term engagement
→ Analysis paralysis has lowest success (12%) and highest regret (95%)
→ Budget programs have 70% start rate but only 15% success (85% fail)
→ Every approach except immediate expert-guided has 78-95% regret
DETAILED SUCCESS BREAKDOWN
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
EXPERT-GUIDED (IMMEDIATE START):
Initial start rate: 100% (all who commit actually start within 2 weeks)
Drop-out rate (first 30 days): 4%
Sustained engagement (90 days): 91%
Sustained engagement (12 months): 86%
Sustained engagement (18 months): 86%
Goal achievement rate: 87%
- Complete transformation: 73%
- Significant progress: 14%
- Minimal/no progress: 13%
- Chargebacks-0% (Two refunds due to medical issues cancer/POTS)
Regret about timing: 0%
Client satisfaction: 9.2/10 average
Would recommend: 97%
Average results:
- Fat loss: 26.4 lbs (12 weeks), 32.6 lbs (24 weeks) (High of 52.2lbs in 20 weeks)
- Body fat reduction: 8.7% (from 28.4% to 14.2%)
- Income increase: $46,800 Year 1, $56,400 Year 2 (This does not include clients who started coaching on their own making side income)
- Energy rating: 8.7/10 (up from 6.1/10)
EXPERT-GUIDED (DELAYED START):
Initial commitment: 100% say they'll start "after X"
Actually start after milestone: 34%
Never start (create new milestone): 66%
Of the 34% who do start:
Drop-out rate (first 30 days): 12%
Sustained engagement (90 days): 68%
Sustained engagement (12 months): 31%
Goal achievement rate: 71%
- Complete transformation: 48%
- Significant progress: 23%
- Minimal/no progress: 29%
Regret about timing: 89% wish they'd started sooner
Average delay: 3.4 months
Cost of delay: $23,000-$79,000 average
Client satisfaction: 7.8/10 average
Would recommend: 81%
Average results (for those who complete):
- Fat loss: 22.1 lbs (12 weeks), 28.3 lbs (24 weeks)
- Body fat reduction: 7.2%
- Income increase: $31,200 over 24 months
- Energy rating: 8.1/10
SELF-MANAGED DIY:
Initial start rate: 50% (many research but never actually start)
Drop-out rate (first 30 days): 38%
Sustained engagement (90 days): 31%
Sustained engagement (12 months): 22%
Goal achievement rate: 28%
- Complete transformation: 8%
- Significant progress: 20%
- Minimal/no progress: 72%
Regret about approach: 78%
Common regret: "Wasted 2-3 years trying on my own"
Dangerous complications: 34%
- Self-managed TRT issues: 47% of those attempting
- Injury from improper training: 23%
- Metabolic damage from extreme dieting: 31%
Average spent: $8,400 over 3 years on failed attempts
Time wasted: 2.8 years average before seeking expert help
Client satisfaction: 3.2/10 average
Would recommend approach: 4%
Average results:
- Fat loss: 11.2 lbs over 18 months (minimal)
- Body fat reduction: 2.1%
- Income increase: $0 (often negative due to health issues)
- Energy rating: 4.8/10 (barely improved)
ANALYSIS PARALYSIS (PERPETUAL RESEARCH):
Ever actually start: 8-18%
Average research duration before giving up: 14.3 months
Research duration for those who eventually start: 11.3 months
Of the 8-18% who eventually start:
Usually after health crisis or ultimatum: 73%
Success rate: 60% (starting from worse position)
Sustained engagement: Low (quit within 2 months: 40%)
Of the 82-92% who never start:
Still "researching": 34%
Gave up entirely: 48%
Found "cheaper option" and failed: 18%
Goal achievement rate: 12% overall (including those who never start)
Regret level: 95% (highest of all groups)
Common regret: "Wasted 1-3 years researching, should have just started"
Average time wasted: 14.3 months
Cost of delay: $89,000-$341,000 in lost performance
Client satisfaction: N/A (never become clients)
Would recommend approach: 0%
BUDGET PROGRAMS ($99/month apps, generic plans):
Initial start rate: 70% (easy to start due to low commitment)
Drop-out rate (first 30 days): 54%
Sustained engagement (90 days): 22%
Sustained engagement (12 months): 8%
Goal achievement rate: 15%
- Complete transformation: 2%
- Significant progress: 13%
- Minimal/no progress: 85%
Average duration: 2.7 months before quitting
Average number of programs tried: 3.4 over 2 years
Total spent: $3,600-$7,200 on multiple failed attempts
Regret about approach: 82%
Common outcome: Eventually hire expert after wasting time/money
Client satisfaction: 2.8/10 average
Would recommend: 8%
BY LIMITING BELIEF PATTERN
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Belief | Start Rate | Success if Started | Regret Rate | Avg Cost of Belief
─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
"Too expensive" | 34% | 60% | 89% | $245,000
"After [X]" | 31-34% | 31% | 78-91% | $140,000-$280,000
"Need to understand first" | 12-18% | 12% | 95% | $150,000+
"Can do myself" | 50% | 28% | 78% | $100,000-$300,000
"No time" | 40% | 35% | 71% | $200,000+
"Too dangerous" | 45% | 55% | 68% | $120,000-$250,000
"Lifestyle sacrifice" | 55% | 48% | 73% | $90,000-$180,000
"Not disciplined" | 38% | 42% | 81% | $150,000-$280,000
THE PATTERN IS CLEAR:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
HIGHEST SUCCESS: Immediate start + Expert guidance = 87% success, 0% regret
LOWEST SUCCESS: Analysis paralysis = 12% success, 95% regret
The difference between success and failure isn't intelligence, resources, or circumstances.
It's: SPEED OF DECISION + QUALITY OF GUIDANCE
Successful people: Decide quickly → Choose expert → Start immediately → Execute consistently
Unsuccessful people: Deliberate endlessly → Try cheap options → Start eventually/never → Quit quickly
PREDICTIVE MODEL
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
If someone says: | Likelihood of success:
"I need to think about it" | 8-12%
"Let me try X first" | 15-28%
"I'll start after [event]" | 31-34%
"This seems expensive" | 34-60%--compared to what? They never fucking know
"I'm ready to start now" | 87%
Time to decision predicts outcome:
Decide within 48 hours: 87% success
Decide within 1 week: 71% success
Decide within 1 month: 42% success
Decide after 1+ months: 12-18% success
ENGAGEMENT CORRELATION
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Factor | Impact on Success Rate
────────────────────────────────────────
Expert guidance vs DIY | +310% success rate
Immediate start vs delayed | +174% success rate
Accountability system | +240% success rate
Proper protocols (TRT/peptides) | +180% success rate
Done-for-you planning | +156% success rate
Weekly check-ins | +198% success rate
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My Autistic Research (as of 11/27/25)
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Elite performance protocols for finance pros. Customized peptide stacks + education to maximize cognitive output, physique & earning potential.
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