Hi BettrNation family! Please see attached for the NFL ESPN +EV plays for Week 17! See below for a few of the biggest +EV plays as of this morning:
- LAC v. NE - NE Spread - EV: 29%
- LAR v. ARI - ARI Spread - EV: 53%
- BUF v. NYJ - NYJ Spread - EV: 38%
- PHI v. DAL - DAL Spread - EV: 42%
- MIN v. GB - GB Moneyline or Spread - EV: 12%
As a reminder, the teams highlighted in green in the attached file are the +EV opportunities based on ESPN Analytics. The upshot of this insight is that, based on ESPN's assessment, these opportunities are currently mispriced in the market. Given the relationship between moneyline bets and spread bets, a mispriced moneyline bet can often mean that the spread line is also mispriced. Check out our Training Camp for more details on this point!
Note that the odds provided are from ESPN Bet as of December 28.
Let us know if you agree with ESPN's projections or if you agree with the market!