Monthly Overview for the month of December 2025 - Use This Plan All Month!
December 2025 Trading Playbook –
Daily Swing Setups & Macro-Aligned Opportunities
Macro Backdrop & Seasonality Trends
December 2025 opens against a complex macro backdrop.
The Federal Reserve’s last rate hike was in mid-2023, placing late 2024 through end-2025 in a known vulnerability window for markets. Recession signals linger – the yield curve remains inverted and corporate bond spreads have started widening – suggesting caution even as equities hover near highs. At the same time, we are entering Year 2 of the U.S. presidential cycle (2026), which is historically the weakest year for stocks.
All these factors align 2025–2026 as a potential high-volatility zone where surprises (economic downturns, credit events, or geopolitical shocks) could quickly roil markets.